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UNOS Predict 2.0 allows transplant centers to make smarter, data-driven decisions

UNOS Predict 2.0 allows transplant centers to make smarter, data-driven decisions

Collage of illustrative images of data from the UNOS Predictive Analytics tool alongside a doctor talking with woman, and a hand resting on a blanket while getting dialysis

Research & Data

UNOS Predict 2.0 allows transplant centers to make smarter, data-driven decisions

Background

U.S. transplant programs are evaluated by the OPTN on several key metrics developed by the Scientific Registry for Transplant Recipients (SRTR). These metrics include:

  • How often a transplanted organ is still functioning 90 days and one year after transplant
  • Patient deaths while waiting for a transplant per time waiting on the list
  • How often a transplant program accepts an organ offer compared to the number of offers they could have accepted and transplanted
hand holding heart

In 2024, as part of our suite of UNOS Tools, we launched UNOS PredictSM, a tool specifically designed to help transplant programs monitor and forecast how they are performing against these SRTR metrics as data become available. Predict enables transplant programs to identify opportunities to improve patient outcomes.

What’s new in UNOS Predict 2.0

UNOS researchers and data analysts work to develop enhancements to Predict to better support transplants programs. Predict 2.0 launched in early 2026 including:

  • Access to individual patient-level data for post-transplant survival and pre-transplant mortality
  • Offer acceptance ratios for heart and kidney
  • “What if” simulator to explore how different patient scenarios can affect program performance

Why this matters

Shaped by user feedback, these enhancements allow transplant programs to identify trends in their data, prepare for potential challenges, advocate for additional resources, and make informed, data-driven decisions to drive continuous improvement to help save and transform more lives.

Looking ahead

“Predict provides our transplant programs with the essential forward-looking view we need, moving beyond the rearview mirror. It delivers crucial risk-adjusted results, empowering the transplant teams to respond proactively and grow effectively. This allows us to appropriately expand our program’s reach and ultimately, helps us to serve more patients and families.”

— Colleen O’Donnell Flores, MHA, Director of Transplant Quality & Regulatory Affairs, Northwell Health Transplant Institute


UNOS is committed to continuing to improve UNOS Predict, and the team is continuing to review feedback from the community. Feedback and questions can be submitted to [email protected].

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UNOS Tools transform data overload into clear insights

UNOS Tools transform data overload into clear insights

Collage of illustrative images of data from the UNOS Predictive Analytics tool alongside a doctor talking with woman, and a hand resting on a blanket while getting dialysis
Research & Data

UNOS Tools transform data overload into clear insights

Helping clinical teams cut through noise and improve outcomes

When Abbey Olsen, transplant quality manager at University of Utah Health, entered the transplant field five years ago, she recalls how overwhelming it was to navigate numerous data sources. Despite her clinical background as a nurse, she initially found the complex data difficult to interpret. Once she started using UNOS Tools, her outlook changed.

“One of the difficult things that we encounter in an environment where there’s a lot of data is trying to connect the data with purpose,” she says. “These dashboards that UNOS has created really help connect those dots so we can make actionable decisions.”

Abbey Olsen

“We’re able to identify trends and then we can readily share that information in a way that is easily digestible and actionable.”

– Abbey Olsen, transplant quality manager at University of Utah Health 

Supporting confident decisions in real time

She points to the University of Utah Health’s lung transplant program, which has grown over the past few years, partially thanks to the insights gained from examining its acceptance practices using the UNOS CARE Tool and organ outcome report. 

“It allows our providers to review their decision-making, gain confidence and then possibly expand their tolerance for risk,” she says. 

Olsen says the weekly updates to the Key Insight Dashboard enable her to track her team’s performance in real time and compare it to the same period in previous years to make sure they are on track. 

She highlights the recent improvements to UNOS Benchmark reports, which now refresh monthly instead of quarterly and allow centers to easily adjust comparison groups. This flexibility helps her team evaluate how their outcomes compare to similar programs, identify areas for improvement and model future growth by benchmarking against aspirational centers.

She says the tool’s real-time, multipurpose functionality makes it far more useful and responsive than earlier versions. Overall, the Benchmark Report “has definitely helped us expand our donor criteria and transplant more patients,” she says.

Faster insights, less manual work

Olsen estimates that UNOS Tools save her more than 20 hours of work per month. “It takes out that manual process and automates it so we’re able to utilize our time better,” she says. “We’re able to make decisions faster and then it saves time on our part for preparation [for meetings.]”

“The good thing with … these dashboards is that you don’t have to create your own visualizations to get the story through to your decision makers,” she says. “We’re able to identify trends and then we can readily share that information in a way that is easily digestible and actionable.

“UNOS has provided us with an amazing framework and foundation as they continue to evolve these tools. I would be at a loss [without them.]”

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CARE Tool helps hospital boost transplants

CARE Tool helps hospital boost transplants

Collage of illustrative images of data from the UNOS Predictive Analytics tool alongside a doctor talking with woman, and a hand resting on a blanket while getting dialysis
Research & Data

CARE Tool helps hospital boost transplants

Ohio State transplant teams use the UNOS CARE Tool to spot trends, correct course and say ‘yes’ to more life‑saving organs

In early 2025, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center’s kidney surgeons voiced concern they were not receiving as many organ offers. Using the UNOS CARE Tool, Molly Maxwell, nurse manager of the abdominal transplant team, was able to quickly uncover the truth: Offers had not declined, but acceptances had.

The CARE Tool let Maxwell drill down on different variables to see surgeons were more likely to turn down kidneys that came from more than 250 miles away and that were greater than 100 in the offer sequence. The team looked at outcomes when these organs were transplanted elsewhere and realized they were declining some organs that did well in other patients.

Molly Maxwell,<br />
Wexner Medical Center

“I don’t know that we would be able to monitor offer acceptance at all without the CARE Tool.”

—Molly Maxwell, nurse manager, Abdominal Transplant Program, The Ohio State Wexner Medical Center

Changing acceptance behaviors “has made a huge – I mean huge – difference,” she says. “You can see our transplant volume increased pretty significantly from that point on.”

She says the CARE Tools system map is “amazing” and allowed her to show that only  about 10% of Wexner’s kidneys came from more than 250 miles away, while comparable programs were accepting a higher percentage or organs coming from a similar distance.

The realization led the team to rethink transportation. Because the local airport in Columbus, Ohio, is not open 24-hours, they now consider other options. “Can we fly into Cleveland or Cincinnati and drive it?” she says.

Maxwell also uses the CARE Tool with heart and lung teams to look at declined organs that later resulted in successful transplants elsewhere. She says often, surgeons decline lungs based on their scans. Digging into these decisions with the CARE Tool, “helps validate some of the decisions,” she says, “but it also helps you see what you need to focus on.”

For Maxwell, the CARE Tool is essential for helping her teams understand offer patterns, identify missed opportunities and accept more organs for transplant. “I don’t know that we would be able to monitor offer acceptance at all without this tool,” she says.

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The public supports organ transplants from pigs

The public supports organ transplants from pigs

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Research & Data

The public supports organ transplants from pigs

About the research

UNOS conducted an online survey to assess the public’s attitude toward xenotransplantation to measure public support and identify personal characteristics associated with acceptance. Over 1,400 adults participated between April 8 – July 8, 2024. People belonging to religious and racial minority groups were intentionally included in higher numbers so the results would more appropriately reflect the U.S. population.

UNOS received grant funding from Sanofi to conduct research about xenotransplantation. UNOS continues to conduct research on xenotransplantation as part of its mission.

What is porcine xenotransplantation?

Transplanting genetically modified pig organs into humans.

Key findings

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Nearly 9/10 respondents support porcine xenotransplantation
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Support varies by race, religion, political affiliation, and a person’s experience with transplantation
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Black and Muslim respondents were less supportive of xenotransplantation compared to other groups
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Over 60% shared concerns of patient safety or animal-derived disease transmission

Support for Xenotransplantation

Support using porcine organs

58.1% Agree

28.3% It depends

11.2% Disagree

2.4% Not sure

Would accept for self with similar risks and benefits

64.3% Agree

21% It depends

11.9% Disagree

2.7% Not sure

Would accept for loved one with similar risks and benefits

61.8% Agree

25.3% It depends

10.9% Disagree

2.1% Not sure

Why this matters

Xenotransplantation could shorten the waitlist by making more organs available for transplant. Understanding the public’s beliefs and concerns will help guide how the transplant community and the public are educated on xenotransplantation to ensure everyone has access to clear, accurate information.

What’s next

UNOS is assessing providers’ and transplant administrators’ attitudes towards xenotransplantation.

About UNOS research

UNOS conducts research as part of its mission to save and transform lives through research, innovation and collaboration.

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Putting patients first: UNOS’ vision for waitlist and organ offer transparency

Putting patients first: UNOS’ vision for waitlist and organ offer transparency

Collage of illustrative images of data from the UNOS Predictive Analytics tool alongside a doctor talking with woman, and a hand resting on a blanket while getting dialysis

Issues & Advocacy

Putting patients first: UNOS’ vision for waitlist and organ offer transparency

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) recently released proposed changes to the Increasing Organ Transplant Access (IOTA) Model, which aims to increase kidney transplants nationwide. A key element of the proposal focuses on improving transparency for patients on the transplant waitlist by requiring participating hospitals to provide regular, individualized reports to patients detailing information about their waitlist status and the organ offer decisions made on their behalf.

There is no question: Ensuring patients are informed about their waitlist status and organ offer information is critical. But how this information is communicated to patients matters as much as the information itself. Complex medical details and interactions with transplant teams can become overwhelming, and physicians play an essential role in translating that complexity by helping patients and their families understand their treatment.

UNOS supports CMS’ efforts to make sure patients receive timely updates about decisions made by their care team that could affect their chances of receiving an organ — but sharing raw clinical data alone isn’t enough. True transparency means presenting information in a clear, consistent format, and in a way that does not add administrative burden to hospitals.

To achieve this balance, CMS should work with the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) and its contractors to securely transmit patient attribution lists to the OPTN, which would allow for:

  • Automatic creation of the specific reports required for each Medicare patient;
  • Easy‑to‑read, consistent formatting that patients can understand; and
  • Reduced burden on hospitals.

To make this information even more accessible to patients, CMS could also:

  • Send the reports directly to each Medicare patient after receiving them from the OPTN; or
  • Work with HRSA to hire a contractor to build a secure online portal or app where transplant patients can view these reports and educational materials.

The proposed updates to the IOTA model could enhance the patient experience by empowering them to participate more actively in their care and reduce the stress and anxiety that come with awaiting a lifesaving organ transplant. That said, the information must be presented in a way that patients can understand, and hospitals must be able to implement the IOTA requirements without a disproportionate burden.

UNOS has already begun work to support the successful implementation of CMS’ IOTA Model by developing a dashboard for transplant hospitals that helps them track the IOTA performance metrics and is ready to work with CMS and the community to develop additional tools for participants and patients.

Read UNOS’ public comment on the proposed updates to the IOTA model below.

UNOS Comment on Proposed CMS IOTA Model Updates

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UNOS responds to article in Bloomberg Government based on Grassley/Wyden allegations

UNOS responds to article in Bloomberg Government based on Grassley/Wyden allegations

On March 4, Bloomberg Government published a story based on a leaked letter from Sens. Chuck Grassley and Ron Wyden to the Health Resources and Service Administration (HRSA). The letter alleges that UNOS “deleted or modified OPTN member records” related to “member activity and patient safety.”

UNOS is setting the record straight

To be clear, UNOS did not delete any OPTN records. No files or data required by our contract with HRSA to serve the OPTN are missing, and none have been modified.

UNOS took the extraordinary measure earlier this year of providing HRSA direct access to internal operational support materials that HRSA requested, despite UNOS having no contractual obligation to provide them to HRSA. UNOS took this unusual step to demonstrate its commitment to being a good partner to HRSA.

It is deeply troubling that members of HRSA’s staff would provide Congress with incomplete and inaccurate information about our work to support OPTN modernization, which has the effect of discrediting UNOS. Meanwhile, UNOS has gone above and beyond its contractual obligations to support HRSA because we are a mission-driven organization that has advocated for patients for more than four decades. UNOS has been transparent and collaborative in all of its dealings with HRSA.

UNOS is committed to working constructively with HRSA to benefit the OPTN and to advocate for reforms that will improve our nation’s donation and transplant system.